July 1st, 2009

http://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2009/07/security_group.html

Primatologist Robin Dunbar derived this number by comparing neocortex — the “thinking” part of the mammalian brain — volume with the size of primate social groups. By analyzing data from 38 primate genera and extrapolating to the human neocortex size, he predicted a human “mean group size” of roughly 150.

This number appears regularly in human society; it’s the estimated size of a Neolithic farming village, the size at which Hittite settlements split, and the basic unit in professional armies from Roman times to the present day. Larger group sizes aren’t as stable because their members don’t know each other well enough. Instead of thinking of the members as people, we think of them as groups of people. For such groups to function well, they need externally imposed structure, such as name badges.

I’ve been thinking about the idea of the nuclear family vrs the extended family for awhile now and it was interesting to compare to this break down of human group sizes to family group sizes. The nuclear family (and it’s associate the post modern family) is the current norm due to various societal factors, especially the mobility of today’s workforce.

By reducing the size of family groups a person also has a reduction in size of the groups mentioned in the article. With fewer people available to seek help in times of severe emotional distress and the larger group of people with which you have special ties you put significantly greater strain on the nuclear family. That is likely one factor leading to the greater number of post modern families. It’s also a significant contributor to the additional reliance on government to provide services that would otherwise be provided by an extended family.

June 20th, 2009

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a62_boqkurbI

Two Japanese men are detained in Italy after allegedly attempting to take $134 billion worth of U.S. bonds over the border into Switzerland. Details are maddeningly sketchy, so naturally the global rumor mill is kicking into high gear.

Are these would-be smugglers agents of Kim Jong Il stashing North Korea’s cash in a Swiss vault? Bagmen for Nigerian Internet scammers? Was the money meant for terrorists looking to buy nuclear warheads? Is Japan dumping its dollars secretly? Are the bonds real or counterfeit?

The implications of the securities being legitimate would be bigger than investors may realize. At a minimum, it would suggest that the U.S. risks losing control over its monetary supply on a massive scale.

The trillions of dollars of debt the U.S. will issue in the next couple of years needs buyers. Attracting them will require making sure that existing ones aren’t losing faith in the U.S.’s ability to control the dollar.

Read the rest of the story.  It’s an amazing tale.

June 12th, 2009

The old thundernat.com has been having problems for awhile now.  I had been thinking about moving it to a new server and software platform, and the latest bit of down time has given me the final incentive to do it.